RapidKnowHow: GEOPOLITICS Leadership Delivered
A neutral, compliance-first Power Guide to navigate shocks and uncertainty. Tools for Country Risk, Exposure, Sanctions Readiness, Early Warning, Scenario Planning, Commodity Pass-Through, and Crisis Protocols.
Contents
1) Model & Principles
2) Diagnostic Rubric (0–10)
3) 12-Month Roadmap
4) 90-Day Sprint
5) Operating System (weekly)
6) Metrics That Matter
7) Scripts & Templates
8) Interactive Tools
9) Risks & Anti-Patterns
10) Next Steps & CTA
1) Model & Principles
Geopolitics Leadership = Intelligence × Compliance × (Resilience + Optionality)
- Intelligence — structured signals → scenarios → decisions
- Compliance — sanctions/export controls/beneficial ownership (no evasion)
- Resilience — diversified revenue & supply; buffers; crisis playbooks
- Optionality — alt suppliers, routings, payment rails, legal entities
Note: Informational only. Seek qualified legal counsel for sanctions/export control decisions.
2) Diagnostic Rubric (score 0–10)
Governance & Compliance
- 0–2: Ad-hoc checks; no list sync
- 3–4: Basic OFAC/EU screening, manual
- 5–6: Automated screening; BO look-through
- 7–8: Export control classification; holds workflow; audits
- 9–10: Global lists, PEP/adverse media, training & SLAs
Exposure Concentration
- 0–2: 1–2 countries = >70% revenue/supply
- 3–4: HHI > 2500 (high concentration)
- 5–6: HHI 1500–2500
- 7–8: HHI < 1500; backup suppliers
- 9–10: HHI < 1200; tested switch plans
Early Warning & Scenarios
- 0–2: News-driven; no thresholds
- 3–4: Manual tracking; no triggers
- 5–6: Core signals; 3 scenarios w/ probabilities
- 7–8: Thresholded alerts; playbooks
- 9–10: Continuous sensing; monthly drills
Crisis Readiness
- 0–2: No escalation matrix
- 3–4: Roles defined; no drills
- 5–6: Levels 1–5; comms templates
- 7–8: Quarterly drills; vendor alignment
- 9–10: Cross-border playbooks; 24/7 on-call
3) 12-Month Roadmap
Q1 — Baseline
- Compliance reset (lists, BO, ECCN, holds)
- Exposure map (revenue/supply by country; HHI)
- Signals & thresholds; 3 scenarios
Q2 — Fortify
- Alt suppliers/routes; payment rails options
- Commodity pass-through clauses
- Level 1–5 crisis matrix + drill
Q3 — Diversify
- Reduce HHI below 1500
- Run scenario war-game
- Quarterly compliance audit
Q4 — Lead
- Annual multi-crisis exercise
- Board dashboard cadence
- Optionality playbook refreshed
4) 90-Day Sprint
Days 1–30
- Sync sanctions lists (US/EU/UK)
- BO look-through ≥25% ownership
- Build exposure table & HHI
Days 31–60
- Set 5 core signals + thresholds
- Draft 3 scenarios (+EV impact)
- Insert pass-through clause templates
Days 61–90
- Drill Level 3 crisis
- Qualify 2 backup suppliers
- Board review of dashboard
5) Operating System (weekly)
- Mon: Signals review → any thresholds crossed?
- Wed: Mitigation workstream update (supply, legal, finance)
- Fri: Risk dashboard to execs + next steps
Escalate via matrix Levels 1–5. Document decisions & rationale.
6) Metrics That Matter
- HHI (exposure concentration) — lower is better
- Time-to-Decision (from signal to action)
- Compliance coverage (% screened, BO resolved)
- Scenario EV impact (€ / margin points)
- Drill readiness (time, gaps resolved)
7) Scripts & Templates
Supplier diversification (email)
Subject: Qualification Request — Secondary Supply for {{SKU}}
Hi {{Name}}, as part of our resilience program we’re qualifying secondary sources for {{SKU}}.
Could we review specs, lead times, Incoterms, and compliance (sanctions/export controls) this week?
— {{Signature}}
Board update (one-pager)
Signals: {{…}} | Thresholds crossed: {{…}} | Scenario EV: {{…}} | HHI: {{…}}
Actions: {{…}} | Decisions needed: {{…}} | Next 7 days: {{…}}
8) Interactive Tools
Interpretation: HHI <1500 low, 1500–2500 moderate, >2500 high concentration.
Aim for ≥6/8 before operating in higher-risk markets.
9) Risks & Anti-Patterns
- Sanctions/controls evasion (illegal) — never do this
- No BO look-through — hidden exposure
- High HHI — revenue/supply concentration
- No pass-through clauses — margin erosion
- Decision lag — signals without thresholds
10) Next Steps & CTA
Now: Run the tools above (risk, HHI, sanctions, early-warning, scenarios, pass-through, crisis).
Then: Pick one 30-day booster and set the weekly cadence.
Privacy: This demo runs locally in your browser. Not legal advice.
RapidKnowHow + ChatGPT | GEOPOLITICS Leadership Delivered
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