Lighthouse Case: Today the Public Servants are on Strike. Because of the Low Temperature, the Trams and Buses thrive empty across the City.
One Question Only
Should we continue operating at full scale when demand has collapsed?
Decision Options (Forced)
APPROVE (Status Quo)
- Full operation continues
- Cash loss accelerates
- Political signalling replaces economic logic
STOP (Hard Shutdown)
- Service collapse risk
- Public backlash
- Loss of essential mobility
REDIRECT (Lighthouse Move — Correct Choice) ✅
- Switch to Cold-Weather Emergency Timetable
- Reduce frequency to demand-based minimum
- Protect essential routes only
- Communicate decision transparently as safety & sustainability measure
Economic Outcome (PC-FCF Lens)
Protection
- Energy and operating losses capped immediately
Release
- Capacity, crews, and assets redeployed or paused
Acceleration
- Faster return to normal economics after strike resolution
Result: Free cash flow protected without service collapse.
Explain it to a Smart 12-Year-Old
If no one is riding the tram,
and it costs a lot of money to keep it warm and moving,
you slow it down instead of pretending everything is normal.The Lighthouse tells you when pretending becomes too expensive.
