Global Economic Trends – June 7, 2025

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๐ŸŒ Global Outlook: Slowing Growth Amid Trade Tensions

  • Global GDP growth is projected to slow to 2.9% in 2025, down from 3.3% in 2024, due to trade disruptions and policy uncertainty.
    ๐Ÿ“Ž Source: OECD Economic Outlook, June 2025

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States: Mixed Signals with Inflation Concerns


๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany: Third Year of Recession


๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India: Monetary Easing to Stimulate Demand


๐Ÿค– AI and Employment: Warning Signs from Tech Leaders


๐Ÿ“Š Investment Strategy Shift: Thematic Over Politics-Based


๐Ÿ˜Š Overall Assessment: Cautiously Optimistic
While major economies face pressure, central banks are taking action, and global investment sentiment is adapting.

๐Ÿ“š Official Data Sources

  1. ๐ŸŒ Global Outlook / GDP Growth Projection
    ๐Ÿ“Ž OECD Economic Outlook, June 2025
    ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.oecd.org/en/about/news/press-releases/2025/06/global-economic-outlook-shifts-as-trade-policy-uncertainty-weakens-growth.html
  2. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. Jobs Report / Inflation Context
    ๐Ÿ“Ž The Guardian โ€“ Business Live, June 6, 2025
    ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2025/jun/06/uk-house-prices-drop-in-may-markets-us-jobs-report-musk-tesla-business-live-news
  3. ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany in Recession
    ๐Ÿ“Ž Wikipedia โ€“ German Economic Crisis (2022โ€“present)
    ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German_economic_crisis_(2022โ€“present)
  4. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ RBI Rate Cut & Consumer Impact
    ๐Ÿ“Ž Economic Times India โ€“ Repo Rate & EMIs
    ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/wealth/borrow/big-savings-for-home-loan-borrowers-as-emis-to-fall-significantly-after-rbi-cuts-repo-rate-by-50-bps/articleshow/121665036.cms
  5. ๐Ÿค– AI & Job Loss Risk (Klarna CEO)
    ๐Ÿ“Ž The Times UK โ€“ Klarnaโ€™s AI Recession Warning
    ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/klarna-boss-ai-could-cause-a-recession-and-many-job-losses-t6gtvrqtx
  6. ๐Ÿ“Š Thematic vs Political Investing
    ๐Ÿ“Ž Barron’s โ€“ Thematic Investing Outperforms
    ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.barrons.com/articles/politics-based-investing-sounds-smart-these-strategies-work-better-30cf40ea
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